Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence
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Variational MCMC
Nando de Freitas, Pedro Hojen-Sorensen, Michael Jordan, Stuart Russell
Abstract:
We propose a new class of learning algorithms that combines variational approximation and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation. Naive algorithms that use the variational approximation as proposal distribution can perform poorly because this approximation tends to underestimate the true variance and other features of the data. We solve this problem by introducing more sophisticated MCMC algorithms. One of these algorithms is a mixture of two MCMC kernels: a random walk Metropolis kernel and a blockMetropolis-Hastings (MH) kernel with a variational approximation as proposaldistribution. The MH kernel allows one to locate regions of high probability efficiently. The Metropolis kernel allows us to explore the vicinity of these regions. This algorithm outperforms variationalapproximations because it yields slightly better estimates of the mean and considerably better estimates of higher moments, such as covariances. It also outperforms standard MCMC algorithms because it locates theregions of high probability quickly, thus speeding up convergence. We demonstrate this algorithm on the problem of Bayesian parameter estimation for logistic (sigmoid) belief networks.
Keywords:
Pages: 120-127
PS Link:
PDF Link: /papers/01/p120-de_freitas.pdf
BibTex:
@INPROCEEDINGS{de Freitas01,
AUTHOR = "Nando de Freitas and Pedro Hojen-Sorensen and Michael Jordan and Stuart Russell",
TITLE = "Variational MCMC",
BOOKTITLE = "Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference Annual Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI-01)",
PUBLISHER = "Morgan Kaufmann",
ADDRESS = "San Francisco, CA",
YEAR = "2001",
PAGES = "120--127"
}


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